Magnificent 7 Stocks & Outlook! Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia, Tesla!
AI Summary
Summary: The Magnificent 7 Performance Overview
- Introduction
- Daniel from Unrivaled Investing discusses the Magnificent 7’s performance in 2023 and anticipates their 2024 outlook.
- The Magnificent 7 includes Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta Platforms, and Tesla.
- Performance in 2023
- Apple was the lowest performer with nearly 50% gains.
- Nvidia saw over 100% gains, with the group’s performance ranging between 50% and 200%.
- Analysis Approach
- Daniel focuses on high-level analysis rather than detailed individual stock analysis.
- He emphasizes that his insights are not financial advice.
- Apple
- High price-to-earnings ratio gives pause due to declining revenue.
- Success hinges on new product cycles or AR/VR products.
- AI ticker chat’s predict feature suggests growth needs to reaccelerate for attractive future returns.
- Microsoft
- Sales reacceleration noted, with growth above 10%.
- Diverse business with strong execution and partnerships, like with OpenAI.
- Potential for adequate returns with maintained or slightly lower profit margins.
- Alphabet
- Profit margins were contracting but are now stabilizing.
- Layoffs and AI innovations could impact margins and the economy.
- Owns a small stake due to AI leadership, despite uncertainties in search and advertising revenue.
- Amazon
- Impressive revenue growth with seasonal peaks.
- Investors seek improved operating margins, which have shown recent improvement.
- Future performance depends on continued margin improvements.
- Nvidia
- Exceptional growth due to AI Revolution demand for GPUs.
- Future performance uncertain if growth stabilizes at a lower rate.
- Meta Platforms
- User base continues to grow.
- Reality Labs’ losses are significant, but cost management is improving.
- Advertising business sensitive to economic downturns.
- VR technology and Zuckerberg’s capital deployment are factors to watch.
- Tesla
- Elon Musk’s ambitious valuation goals for Tesla.
- Auto manufacturers are sensitive to economic recessions.
- Recent video provides more detail on Tesla’s outlook.
- Final Thoughts
- Daniel prefers smaller investments with higher conviction.
- Focuses on fundamentals like free cash flow yield and reasonable growth.
- Upcoming subscriber letter to discuss investment strategies focusing on fundamentals.
For more detailed insights and investment ideas, Daniel invites viewers to check out Unrivaled Investing.