AI Summary

  • Generative AI Impact
    • McKinsey & Company predicts AI could contribute 4.4 trillion annually to the global economy.
  • Prediction 1: AI Smart Glasses
    • AI glasses, like Lucyd Lyte and Amazon’s Echo Frames, are expected to become commonplace.
    • Apple’s Vision Pro AR platform is anticipated to be influential.
    • Challenges include privacy concerns, battery life, and ethical AI development.
  • Prediction 2: ChatGPT Market Shift
    • ChatGPT’s dominance is challenged by new AI services from companies like Mistral and ventures by Elon Musk and Google.
    • ChatGPT’s website traffic fluctuated but saw a rebound in September 2023.
  • Prediction 3: Small Language Models (SLMs)
    • SLMs, such as Orca-2 and Tiny LLama, are gaining popularity for their efficiency in mobile and IoT applications.
    • Businesses are expected to adopt SLMs for cost-efficient, optimized AI applications.
  • Prediction 4: Large MultiModal Models (LMMs)
    • LMMs, like Flamingo and KOSMOS-1, are emerging, combining text and image processing capabilities.
    • GPT-4 is an example of this evolution, enhancing AI’s interactive experiences.
  • Prediction 5: No AGI Yet
    • AGI is not expected in 2024, with ongoing debates about its timeline.
    • Iterative improvements in AI models will continue, making them “good enough” for various tasks.
  • Prediction 6: Beyond Open and Closed Models
    • The open vs. closed-source AI model debate is becoming outdated.
    • New development and sharing models, like hybrid or federated AI, are emerging.
  • Prediction 7: AI Benchmarking Challenges
    • Benchmarking remains complex, with no universal standard expected in 2024.
    • Custom benchmarks will be important for businesses to evaluate AI models.
  • Prediction 8: Focus on Immediate AI Risks
    • Immediate issues like bias and misinformation are prioritized over existential threats.
    • The industry is focusing on mitigating immediate risks such as job displacement and biases.
  • Conclusion
    • These predictions serve as a roadmap for innovation and societal progress.
    • The AI landscape challenges business practices and interactions with the world.

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